avkАрхивъ внутренней медициныThe Russian Archives of Internal Medicine2226-67042411-6564“SINAPS” LLC10.20514/2226-6704-2015-0-5-11avk-449Research ArticleОБЗОРНЫЕ СТАТЬИREVIEW ARTICLESШКАЛЫ ПРОГНОЗА СЕРДЕЧНО-СОСУДИСТЫХ ЗАБОЛЕВАНИЙPROGNOSTIC SCORES FOR CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASESБеляловФ. И.BelyalovF. I.

кафедра геронтологии и гериатрии,

Иркутск

Irkutsk

fbelyalov@gmail.comГБОУ ДПО «Иркутская государственная медицинская академия последипломного образования»РоссияIrkutsk State Medical Academy of Postgraduate EducationRussian Federation201528102015051921Copyright © Белялов Ф.И., 20152015Белялов Ф.И.Belyalov F.I.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://www.medarhive.ru/jour/article/view/449

В статье обсуждается оценка прогноза сердечно-сосудистых заболеваний с помощью специальных шкал. Рассмотрены преимущества и ограничения использования шкал в практике кардиолога. Автором разработана программа «КардиоЭксперт» для мобильных устройств, которая включает набор наиболее востребованных шкал прогноза сердечно-сосудистых заболеваний и калькуляторов.

The prognostic scores for cardiovascular diseases are discussed in this article. The scores have advantages and limitations for using in clinical practice. Author has developed the program CardioExpert for mobile devices including the most essential scores for cardiovascular diseases.

прогноз сердечно-сосудистых заболеваниймедицинские шкалыprediction of the cardiovascular diseasesmedical scoresReferencesFibrillation. J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. 2014; 64: e1–e76.Fibrillation. J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. 2014; 64: e1–e76.2014 AHA/ACC Guideline for the Management of Patients With Non—ST-Elevation Acute Coronary Syndromes. Circulation. 2014; 130: e344–426.2014 AHA/ACC Guideline for the Management of Patients With Non—ST-Elevation Acute Coronary Syndromes. Circulation. 2014; 130: e344–426.Burgess S., Crown N., Louzada M.L. et al. Clinical performance of bleeding risk scores for predicting major and clinically relevant non-major bleeding events in patients receiving warfarin. J. Thromb. Haemost. 2013; 11: 1647–1654.Burgess S., Crown N., Louzada M.L. et al. Clinical performance of bleeding risk scores for predicting major and clinically relevant non-major bleeding events in patients receiving warfarin. J. Thromb. Haemost. 2013; 11: 1647–1654.Chao T., Wang K., Liu C. et al. Age Threshold for Increased Stroke Risk Among Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: A Nationwide Cohort Study From Taiwan. J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. 2015; 66: 1339–1347.Chao T., Wang K., Liu C. et al. Age Threshold for Increased Stroke Risk Among Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: A Nationwide Cohort Study From Taiwan. J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. 2015; 66: 1339–1347.Fox K.A.A., FitzGerald G., Puymirat E. et al. Should patients with acute coronary disease be stratified for management according to their risk? Derivation, external validation and outcomes using the updated GRACE risk score. BMJ Open. 2014; 4(2): e004425.Fox K.A.A., FitzGerald G., Puymirat E. et al. Should patients with acute coronary disease be stratified for management according to their risk? Derivation, external validation and outcomes using the updated GRACE risk score. BMJ Open. 2014; 4(2): e004425.Genders T.S.S., Steyerberg E.W., Hunink M.M.G. et al. Prediction model to estimate presence of coronary artery disease: retrospective pooled analysis of existing cohorts. BMJ. 2012; 344: e3485.Genders T.S.S., Steyerberg E.W., Hunink M.M.G. et al. Prediction model to estimate presence of coronary artery disease: retrospective pooled analysis of existing cohorts. BMJ. 2012; 344: e3485.Goto S., Zhu J., Liu L. et al. Efficacy and Safety of Apixaban Compared with Warfarin for Stroke Prevention in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation from East Asia // American heart journal. 2014; 168: 303–309.Goto S., Zhu J., Liu L. et al. Efficacy and Safety of Apixaban Compared with Warfarin for Stroke Prevention in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation from East Asia // American heart journal. 2014; 168: 303–309.Hobbs F.D.R., Roalfe A.K., Lip G.Y.H. et al. Performance of stroke risk scores in older people with atrial fibrillation not taking warfarin: comparative cohort study from BAFTA trial. BMJ. 2011; 342: d3653.Hobbs F.D.R., Roalfe A.K., Lip G.Y.H. et al. Performance of stroke risk scores in older people with atrial fibrillation not taking warfarin: comparative cohort study from BAFTA trial. BMJ. 2011; 342: d3653.Hosmer D.W., Lemeshow S. Applied Logistic Regression. 2nd ed. New York, NY: John Wiley & Sons. 2000.Hosmer D.W., Lemeshow S. Applied Logistic Regression. 2nd ed. New York, NY: John Wiley & Sons. 2000.Huang D.U.O., Anguo L.U.O., Yue W.-S. et al. Refinement of Ischemic Stroke Risk in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation and CHA2DS2-VASc Score of 1. Pacing and Clinical Electrophysiology. 2014; 37: 1442–1447.Huang D.U.O., Anguo L.U.O., Yue W.-S. et al. Refinement of Ischemic Stroke Risk in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation and CHA2DS2-VASc Score of 1. Pacing and Clinical Electrophysiology. 2014; 37: 1442–1447.Koliscak L., Maynor L. Pharmacologic prophylaxis against venous thromboembolism in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis and associated coagulopathies. Am. J. Health Syst. Pharm. 2012; 69: 658–663.Koliscak L., Maynor L. Pharmacologic prophylaxis against venous thromboembolism in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis and associated coagulopathies. Am. J. Health Syst. Pharm. 2012; 69: 658–663.Lip G.Y.H. et al. The value of the ESC guidelines for refining stroke risk stratification in patients with atrial fibrillation categorized as low risk using the anticoagulation and risk factors in atrial fibrillation stroke score. Chest. 2014; 146: 1337–1346.Lip G.Y.H. et al. The value of the ESC guidelines for refining stroke risk stratification in patients with atrial fibrillation categorized as low risk using the anticoagulation and risk factors in atrial fibrillation stroke score. Chest. 2014; 146: 1337–1346.Loewen P., Dahri K. Risk of bleeding with oral anticoagulants: an updated systematic review and performance analysis of clinical prediction rules. Ann. Hematol. 2011; 90: 1191–1200.Loewen P., Dahri K. Risk of bleeding with oral anticoagulants: an updated systematic review and performance analysis of clinical prediction rules. Ann. Hematol. 2011; 90: 1191–1200.Morris A., Ferdinand K.C. Hyperlipidemia in Racial/Ethnic Minorities: Differences in Lipid Profiles and the Impact of Statin Therapy. Clin. Lipidology. 2009; 4: 741–754.Morris A., Ferdinand K.C. Hyperlipidemia in Racial/Ethnic Minorities: Differences in Lipid Profiles and the Impact of Statin Therapy. Clin. Lipidology. 2009; 4: 741–754.Palaniappan L.P., Araneta M.R.G., Assimes T.L. et al. Call to Action: Cardiovascular Disease in Asian Americans: A Science Advisory From the American Heart Association. Circulation. 2010; 122: 1242–1252.Palaniappan L.P., Araneta M.R.G., Assimes T.L. et al. Call to Action: Cardiovascular Disease in Asian Americans: A Science Advisory From the American Heart Association. Circulation. 2010; 122: 1242–1252.Patel M.R., Dai D., Hernandez A.F. et al. Prevalence and predictors of n onobstructive coronary artery disease identified with coronary angiography in contemporary clinical practice. American heart journal. 2014; 167: 846–852.Patel M.R., Dai D., Hernandez A.F. et al. Prevalence and predictors of nonobstructive coronary artery disease identified with coronary angiography in contemporary clinical practice. American heart journal. 2014; 167: 846–852.Pryor D.B., Shaw L., McCants C.B. et al. Value of the history and physical in identifying patients at increased risk for coronary artery disease. Ann. Intern. Med. 1993; 118: 81–90.Pryor D.B., Shaw L., McCants C.B. et al. Value of the history and physical in identifying patients at increased risk for coronary artery disease. Ann. Intern. Med. 1993; 118: 81–90.Simms A.D., Reynolds S., Pieper K. et al. Evaluation of the NICE mini-GRACE risk scores for acute myocardial infarction using the Myocardial Ischaemia National Audit Project (MINAP) 2003-2009. Heart. 2013; 99: 35-40.Simms A.D., Reynolds S., Pieper K. et al. Evaluation of the NICE mini-GRACE risk scores for acute myocardial infarction using the Myocardial Ischaemia National Audit Project (MINAP) 2003-2009. Heart. 2013; 99: 35-40.Stamm J.A., Long J.L., Kirchner H.L., et al. Risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism: frequency and impact on treatment decisions and outcomes. South. Med. J. 2014; 107: 72–78.Stamm J.A., Long J.L., Kirchner H.L., et al. Risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism: frequency and impact on treatment decisions and outcomes. South. Med. J. 2014; 107: 72–78.Steinberg B.A., Kim S., Thomas L. et al. Lack of Concordance Between Empirical Scores and Physician Assessments of Stroke and Bleeding Risk in Atrial Fibrillation: Results From the ORBIT-AF Registry. Circulation. 2014; 129: 2005–2012.Steinberg B.A., Kim S., Thomas L. et al. Lack of Concordance Between Empirical Scores and Physician Assessments of Stroke and Bleeding Risk in Atrial Fibrillation: Results From the ORBIT-AF Registry. Circulation. 2014; 129: 2005–2012.Stroke Risk in Atrial Fibrillation Working Group. Comparison of 12 Risk Stratification Schemes to Predict Stroke in Patients With Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation. Stroke. 2008; 39: 1901–1910.Stroke Risk in Atrial Fibrillation Working Group. Comparison of 12 Risk Stratification Schemes to Predict Stroke in Patients With Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation. Stroke. 2008; 39: 1901–1910.Subherwal S., Bach R.G., Chen A.Y. et al. Baseline risk of major bleeding in non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction: the CRUSADE bleeding score. Circulation. 2009; 119: a1873–1882.Subherwal S., Bach R.G., Chen A.Y. et al. Baseline risk of major bleeding in non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction: the CRUSADE bleeding score. Circulation. 2009; 119: a1873–1882.

The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.